{"id":27116,"date":"2023-04-28T19:38:57","date_gmt":"2023-04-28T19:38:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/dollar-headed-for-monthly\/"},"modified":"2023-04-28T19:39:17","modified_gmt":"2023-04-28T19:39:17","slug":"us-dollar-firms-as","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/us-dollar-firms-as\/","title":{"rendered":"US dollar firms as inflation data backs Fed hike; yen plunges"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss<\/p>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) &#8211;     The U.S. dollar rose on Friday after data showed inflation grew in March, though at a slower pace, keeping the Federal Reserve still firmly on track to raise interest rates at next week&#8217;s monetary policy meeting.<\/p>\n<p>The yen, meanwhile, fell across the board, after the Bank of Japan said it would maintain ultra-low interest rates as expected, and unanimously decided to make no changes to its yield curve control (YCC) policy.<\/p>\n<p>The Japanese currency plunged to its lowest since September 2008 against the euro, and its weakest level in seven weeks versus the dollar. <\/p>\n<p>The euro was last up 1.5% against the yen at 150. On the week, Europe&#8217;s single currency rose 1.8%.<\/p>\n<p>The dollar, on the other hand, last traded 1.7% higher at 136.235 yen, posting a weekly gain of 1.6%, its best weekly performance since late February.<\/p>\n<p>The dollar index, a measure of the greenback&#8217;s value against six major currencies, rose 0.2% to 101.65. <\/p>\n<p>Friday&#8217;s data showed the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index edged 0.1% higher in March after rising 0.3% in February. In the 12 months through March, the PCE price index increased 4.2% after climbing 5.1% in February.<\/p>\n<p>Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the PCE price index inched up 0.3% after increasing at the same rate in February. The so-called core PCE price index gained 4.6% on a year-on-year basis in March after rising 4.7% in February. The Fed tracks the PCE price indexes for its 2% inflation target.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;You probably need a much bigger slowing in the growth rate to get the Fed comfortable that it\u2019s succeeded in its mission; it&#8217;s not there yet,&#8221; said Joseph Lavorgna, chief U.S. economist at SMBC Nikko Securities in New York. &#8220;It doesn&#8217;t change the outlook (for policymakers next week).&#8221; <\/p>\n<p>Following the inflation data, the rate futures market has priced in a 90% chance of a 25 basis-point hike next week.<\/p>\n<p>A separate report on Friday showing the final University of Michigan consumer sentiment reading of 63.5 in April, up from a three-month low 62 in March, added to dollar gains. U.S. consumers&#8217; one-year inflation outlook was 4.6 this month from 3.6 in March, further underpinned rate hike expectations, boosting the dollar as well.<\/p>\n<p>The euro, meanwhile, slipped 0.1% against the dollar to $1.1017. <\/p>\n<p>Economic data painted a mixed picture for growth and inflation across the euro zone, raising uncertainty around the size of the European Central Bank&#8217;s expected interest rate hike next week.<\/p>\n<p>Preliminary data showed gross domestic product in the euro zone expanded by 0.1% in the first quarter, below expectations in a Reuters poll for 0.2%. <\/p>\n<p>The single European currency had fallen much more earlier in the session, but trimmed losses as investors sold the yen against the euro. That spilled over to the euro\/dollar cross.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We think the balance of probabilities is gradually shifting in the dollar&#8217;s favour,&#8221; wrote Jonathan Petersen, senior market economist at Capital Economics in a research note.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The &#8216;goldilocks&#8217; regime of stronger activity data outside of the U.S. seems to be fading, and we anticipate the dollar benefiting from safe-haven demand once the global growth picture starts to deteriorate more substantially in coming months.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>========================================================<\/p>\n<p>Currency bid prices at 3:26PM (1926 GMT)<\/p>\n<p>           Description      RIC         Last           U.S. Close  Pct Change     YTD Pct       High Bid    Low Bid          <\/p>\n<p>                                                       Previous                   Change                              <\/p>\n<p>                                                       Session                                                        <\/p>\n<p>           Dollar index                 101.6400       101.4500    +0.20%         -1.788%       +102.1700   +101.4200          <\/p>\n<p>           Euro\/Dollar                  $1.1018        $1.1029     -0.10%         +2.83%        +$1.1045    +$1.0963          <\/p>\n<p>           Dollar\/Yen                   136.2350       134.0100    +1.66%         +3.91%        +136.5600   +133.3600          <\/p>\n<p>           Euro\/Yen                     150.00         147.77      +1.51%         +6.91%        +150.4300   +147.2300          <\/p>\n<p>           Dollar\/Swiss                 0.8936         0.8944      -0.07%         -3.34%        +0.8975     +0.8896          <\/p>\n<p>           Sterling\/Dollar              $1.2563        $1.2500     +0.50%         +3.88%        +$1.2584    +$1.2447          <\/p>\n<p>           Dollar\/Canadian              1.3547         1.3591      -0.32%         -0.01%        +1.3668     +1.3536          <\/p>\n<p>           Aussie\/Dollar                $0.6615        $0.6630     -0.22%         -2.95%        +$0.6642    +$0.6573          <\/p>\n<p>           Euro\/Swiss                   0.9846         0.9862      -0.16%         -0.50%        +0.9868     +0.9816          <\/p>\n<p>           Euro\/Sterling                0.8769         0.8824      -0.62%         -0.85%        +0.8839     +0.8768          <\/p>\n<p>           NZ                           $0.6184        $0.6148     +0.59%         -2.61%        +$0.6187    +$0.6124          <\/p>\n<p>           Dollar\/Dollar                                                                                              <\/p>\n<p>           Dollar\/Norway                10.6650        10.6210     +0.44%         +8.70%        +10.7690    +10.6290          <\/p>\n<p>           Euro\/Norway                  11.7497        11.7106     +0.33%         +11.97%       +11.8338    +11.6981          <\/p>\n<p>           Dollar\/Sweden                10.2563        10.2857     -0.46%         -1.46%        +10.3522    +10.2405          <\/p>\n<p>           Euro\/Sweden                  11.3011        11.3530     -0.46%         +1.36%        +11.3720    +11.3010          <\/p>\n<p \/>\n<p> (Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss; Additional reporting by Herb Lash in New Yoek, Joice Alves in London and Rae Wee in Singapore; Editing by Andrew Heavens, Andrea Ricci and Jonathan Oatis)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/us-dollar-gains-as\/file-photo-illustration-shows-u-s-dollar-banknotes-13\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-content\/uploads\/Reuters_Direct_Media\/USOnlineReportBusinessNews\/tagreuters.com2023binary_LYNXMPEJ3R016-VIEWIMAGE.jpg\" alt=\"tagreuters.com2023binary_LYNXMPEJ3R016-VIEWIMAGE\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/us-dollar-gains-as\/file-photo-illustration-shows-japanese-yen-and-u-s-dollar-banknotes\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-content\/uploads\/Reuters_Direct_Media\/USOnlineReportBusinessNews\/tagreuters.com2023binary_LYNXMPEJ3R017-VIEWIMAGE.jpg\" alt=\"tagreuters.com2023binary_LYNXMPEJ3R017-VIEWIMAGE\"><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK (Reuters) &#8211; The U.S. dollar rose on Friday after data showed inflation grew in March, though at a slower pace, keeping the Federal Reserve still firmly on track to raise interest rates at next week&#8217;s monetary policy meeting. The yen, meanwhile, fell across the board, after the Bank of Japan [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":27117,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1213],"tags":[1223],"class_list":["post-27116","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-u-s-business","tag-updated"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-content\/uploads\/Reuters_Direct_Media\/USOnlineReportBusinessNews\/tagreuters.com2023binary_LYNXMPEJ3R016-VIEWIMAGE.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27116","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27116"}],"version-history":[{"count":11,"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27116\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28305,"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27116\/revisions\/28305"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27117"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27116"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27116"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27116"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}