{"id":26071,"date":"2023-04-27T19:13:50","date_gmt":"2023-04-27T19:13:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/euro-hovers-near-one-year\/"},"modified":"2023-04-27T19:14:14","modified_gmt":"2023-04-27T19:14:14","slug":"us-dollar-edges-higher","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/us-dollar-edges-higher\/","title":{"rendered":"US dollar edges higher as GDP, jobless claims affirm rate hike bets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss<\/p>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) &#8211;     The dollar rose on Thursday as weaker-than-expected U.S. economic growth in the first quarter is viewed as not likely to deter the Federal Reserve from raising interest rates next week.<\/p>\n<p>The advance estimate of first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) showed a 1.1% annualized rate during the period. The economy grew at a 2.6% pace in the fourth quarter. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast GDP rising at a 2.0% rate.<\/p>\n<p>However, investors focused on the quarterly inflation number within the GDP report. Core personal consumption expenditure prices rose 4.9% in the first three months of the year, higher than the 4.7% consensus and up from the fourth quarter figure.    <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The weaker growth outlook is telling us that the Fed is going to struggle to keep on hiking interest rates without crushing the economy,&#8221; said Amo Sahota, director at FX consulting firm Klarity FX in San Francisco.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;But the conundrum of what to do with inflation is still persistent. The Fed has been telling us that for a long time. So that (core PCE) number just hardened the fact that we&#8217;re going to have a rate hike next week,&#8221; he added. <\/p>\n<p>Markets have priced in a 90% probability of a 25 basis-point rate increase at the May policy meeting, with a pause factored in after that.<\/p>\n<p>A separate report from the Labor Department on Thursday showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits decreased 16,000 to a seasonally adjusted 230,000 for the week ending April 22. Economists had expected 248,000 claims in the latest week. <\/p>\n<p>The report suggested a still-tight labor market and also underpinned next week&#8217;s rate increase expectations.<\/p>\n<p>In afternoon trading, the dollar rose 0.2% against the yen to 134 yen as the Bank of Japan began a two-day policy meeting, the first under new governor Kazuo Ueda. <\/p>\n<p>The market consensus is that Ueda will leave ultra-easy policy settings unchanged on Friday, but no one is willing to rule out another surprise like the shock doubling of the 10-year bond yield band in December.<\/p>\n<p>The dollar index rose 0.1% to 101.50.<\/p>\n<p>The euro, meanwhile, slipped 0.1 to $1.1024. <\/p>\n<p>Eurozone outperformance has been a key factor for the euro. Germany again revised upward growth forecasts on Wednesday, and a survey showed a continued pickup in consumer confidence.<\/p>\n<p>========================================================<\/p>\n<p>Currency bid prices at 2:56PM (1856 GMT)<\/p>\n<p>           Description      RIC         Last           U.S. Close  Pct Change     YTD Pct       High Bid    Low Bid          <\/p>\n<p>                                                       Previous                   Change                              <\/p>\n<p>                                                       Session                                                        <\/p>\n<p>           Dollar index                 101.5100       101.3900    +0.12%         -1.913%       +101.8000   +101.2800          <\/p>\n<p>           Euro\/Dollar                  $1.1025        $1.1039     -0.14%         +2.88%        +$1.1063    +$1.0992          <\/p>\n<p>           Dollar\/Yen                   133.9900       133.6900    +0.23%         +2.20%        +134.1900   +133.2000          <\/p>\n<p>           Euro\/Yen                     147.69         147.56      +0.09%         +5.27%        +147.9900   +147.1500          <\/p>\n<p>           Dollar\/Swiss                 0.8940         0.8913      +0.30%         -3.33%        +0.8976     +0.8905          <\/p>\n<p>           Sterling\/Dollar              $1.2490        $1.2470     +0.16%         +3.28%        +$1.2493    +$1.2437          <\/p>\n<p>           Dollar\/Canadian              1.3600         1.3639      -0.30%         +0.35%        +1.3645     +1.3593          <\/p>\n<p>           Aussie\/Dollar                $0.6630        $0.6604     +0.40%         -2.73%        +$0.6635    +$0.6596          <\/p>\n<p>           Euro\/Swiss                   0.9854         0.9838      +0.16%         -0.41%        +0.9880     +0.9834          <\/p>\n<p>           Euro\/Sterling                0.8824         0.8853      -0.33%         -0.23%        +0.8872     +0.8826          <\/p>\n<p>           NZ                           $0.6145        $0.6115     +0.52%         -3.20%        +$0.6157    +$0.6116          <\/p>\n<p>           Dollar\/Dollar                                                                                              <\/p>\n<p>           Dollar\/Norway                10.6160        10.6440     +0.04%         +8.50%        +10.6660    +10.6010          <\/p>\n<p>           Euro\/Norway                  11.7006        11.7280     -0.23%         +11.55%       +11.7660    +11.7005          <\/p>\n<p>           Dollar\/Sweden                10.2964        10.3233     -0.44%         -1.07%        +10.3526    +10.2889          <\/p>\n<p>           Euro\/Sweden                  11.3470        11.3973     -0.44%         +1.82%        +11.4097    +11.3479          <\/p>\n<p \/>\n<p> (Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss; Additional reporting by Harry Robertson in London and Kevin Buckland in Tokyo; Editing by Toby Chopra and Jonathan Oatis)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/us-dollar-gains-after\/united-states-one-dollar-bills-are-curled-and-inspected-during\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-content\/uploads\/Reuters_Direct_Media\/USOnlineReportBusinessNews\/tagreuters.com2023binary_LYNXMPEJ3Q0KR-VIEWIMAGE.jpg\" alt=\"tagreuters.com2023binary_LYNXMPEJ3Q0KR-VIEWIMAGE\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/us-dollar-gains-after\/u-s-dollar-and-euro-bank-notes-are-photographed-in-frankfurt\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-content\/uploads\/Reuters_Direct_Media\/USOnlineReportBusinessNews\/tagreuters.com2023binary_LYNXMPEJ3Q0HU-VIEWIMAGE.jpg\" alt=\"tagreuters.com2023binary_LYNXMPEJ3Q0HU-VIEWIMAGE\"><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK (Reuters) &#8211; The dollar rose on Thursday as weaker-than-expected U.S. economic growth in the first quarter is viewed as not likely to deter the Federal Reserve from raising interest rates next week. The advance estimate of first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) showed a 1.1% annualized rate during the period. The [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":26222,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1213],"tags":[1223],"class_list":["post-26071","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-u-s-business","tag-updated"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-content\/uploads\/Reuters_Direct_Media\/USOnlineReportBusinessNews\/tagreuters.com2023binary_LYNXMPEJ3Q0KR-VIEWIMAGE.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26071","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26071"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26071\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26739,"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26071\/revisions\/26739"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26222"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26071"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26071"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/lynettelockhart.com\/client\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26071"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}